Election 2010 Update: How Many Seats Did Republicans Gain in the House

To view other TCJ Research Polls released today, click HERE.

To read our full analysis of how and why Republicans will take the Senate, click HERE.

After a long, long night if election reports coming in, our Monday prediction of a net gain of 65 seats for House Republicans looks to be dead on: our protection models are now predicting a 63-65 seat gain. It’s worth noting that going into Tuesday night, our model showed a gain of 53-57 seats. The human brain, however, is far superior to any machine and we used ours to surmise that the Republican wave would be larger than any computer model predicted. The models don’t account for human emotion and determination, which played a huge part in this election.

As far as we know, we were the only outlet to call the number of GOP pickups accurately, as most major analysts went with a number in the mid fifties. Of course, as the night wore on those analysts revised their predictions to 60+. To us, that’s like betting on the World Series after all of the games have been played. We’d rather go for the big money and be right from the get go.

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Thanks for reading!

Rick

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• Updated Election 2010 Senate Race Predictions: Republicans Poised to Take Control of the Senate
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