TCJ Research 7/18-7/19: Could Hillary Clinton Beat Obama in 2012 Rematch?

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To read a little history on TCJ Research Polls and get a behind the scenes look, click HERE.  To view all TCJ Research polls, click HERE and select the race you’re interested in for a full listing of polls taken in that state.

Each poll uses a random sampling of 1000 Likely Voters (unless otherwise stated) and has a +/- 4% margin of error (M.o.E).  Crosstabs are round to nearest whole percent for clarity.  Commentary and analysis on the following results will be posted in a follow-up post.j

For our first round of national polling, we thought it would be fun to ask respondents their opinions of some theoretical matchups for the 2012 election.  Given the contentiousness of the 2008 Democratic primary battle between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, what better a theoretical match-up to start with, eh?  In a primary rematch, Secretary of State Clinton would give Barack a run for his money; in fact, our poll shows the two neck and neck, both earning 45% of the vote with the remainder undecided.  Check out the crosstabs by gender and ideology below.

Be sure to check in later for a full analysis that will reveal more into the poll’s results.  Visit the TCJ Research home page and select “General Election 2012” to see all polls in this race.

All Male Female Lib. Mod. Con.
Barack Obama 45% 51% 40% 61% 43% 31%
Hillary Clinton 45% 41% 48% 30% 43% 63%
Undecided 10% 8% 12% 9% 14% 6%

Further Reading:

To view all TCJ Research polls, click HERE and select the race your interested in from the alphabetical listing.  To get TCJ Research polls and analysis before everyone else, follow us on Twitter (@TCJournalUpdate) or subscribe to our daily e-mail newsletter by click HERE and entering and confirming your valid e-mail address.

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Thanks for reading!

Rick

 

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Filed under General Election 2012, TCJ Research

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