This is a guest post by The Dysfunction Junction editor Kent McCarty. McCarty is an 18 year-old student at the University of Southern Mississippi in Hattiesburg. He plans to run for President in 2048. To read more by McCarty, visit The Dysfunction Junction by clicking HERE.
With Mitt Romney the clear favorite to win the Nevada Caucus, there have been far fewer polls of the race than we enjoyed with previous primaries. Even if there had been a wealth of polls for today’s caucus, I’m not sure how useful they would be: In 2008, polls projected Romney would win by 5 points. His actual margin of victory? 37.5 points.
Look for a similar trouncing by Romney when 2012′s Nevada ballots are counted. The real question is by how much will he win and who will come in second. To the first, I say that Romney will likely win by 24 to 30 point range. In 2008, Romney pulled in 50% of the vote despite the fact that it was McCain who had the big momentum at the time. The Mormon vote in Nevada can’t be underestimated, as 2008 proved.
To read the rest of this Nevada Caucus Prediction, read the full article at The Dysfunction Junction by visiting the link below:
